"SIMPLIFIED" ADVANCED STATISTICS

The advanced statistics are rich in information and can allow you to analyze players and teams. The most motivated people will analyse all these stats to predict the outcome of the match, the value of the players, their development, etc ... but the fact remains that these are predictive data that can be influenced by others external elements to statistical facts.

 

That said, in order to maximize your chances of winning your fantasy NHL this year, we are going to show you the most relevant advanced stats data for your fantasy NHL that will have a real impact on your performance. Warning ! Pure statistics without analysis mean nothing and it is sometimes necessary to cross-reference data to give them meaning… this is why we will present our analysis in the next few pages.

 

Here are, in a simplified way, the advanced statistics that we will use in our guide.

TEAM STATISTICS

  • Corsi (CF%) team:

This statistic use the total number of shots attempted to get the puck possession % for each team. This stat uses all shots, no matter how good or how likely they are to turn into a goal. Most teams end up with a CF% between 40 and 60. A team with a CF% around 55 and above will be considered an elite team.

 

  • Fenwick (FF%) team:

This statistic also use the total shot attempts to get the puck possession % for each team. On the other hand, the FF% does not count the blocked shots. This stat allows us to take into consideration the quality of the team's players and give a prediction in terms of scoring chances by converting their puck possession into goals. Like the Corsi %, most teams end up with a FF% between 40 and 60. A team with a FF% around 55 and above will be considered an elite team.

 

  • OZS% team:

This statistic give the proportion of offensive zone face-offs versus all face-offs of each team. Higher the offensive face-offs percentage is, higher the teams scoring chances is too.

 

  • PDO team:

This statistic measures the luck factor of each team versus their overall performance. It puts into perspective the luck level  in terms of goals allowed and goals scored. A team with a PDO greater than 102 will be considered very lucky while another with a PDO less than 98 will be considered unlucky. The average is 100.

PLAYERS STATISTICS (FORWARDS AND DEFENCES)

  • Corsi (CF%):

This statistic use the total number of shots attempted to get the puck possession % by each player. This stat uses all shots, no matter how good or how likely they are to turn into a goal in a 5 vs 5 situation. Most players end up with a CF% between 40 and 60. A player with a CF% around 55 and over will be considered elite.

  • Fenwick (FF%):

This statistic also use the total shot attempts to get the puck possession % by each player in a 5 vs 5 situation. However, the FF% does not count the blocked shots. This stat allows us to take into consideration the skill level of each player in terms of puck handling and in game IQ.  This stat give a prediction in terms of scoring chances by converting their puck possession into goals.  Like the Corsi %, most players end up with an FF% between 40 and 60. A player with an FF% around 55 and above will be considered elite.

  • OZS%:

This statistic give the proportion of offensive zone face-offs versus all face-offs of each player in a 5 vs 5 situation. Higher the offensive face-offs percentage is, higher the player scoring chances is too.

  • PDO:

This statistic measures the luck factor of each player versus their total points obtained in a 5 vs 5 situation. It puts into perspective the luck level  in terms of goals allowed and goals scored. A player with a PDO higher than 102 will be considered very lucky while another with a PDO lower than 98 will be considered less lucky. The average is 100.

  • % FA:

This statistic measures the% of points obtained by each player via the first assists on a goal in a 5 vs 5 situation. A player with a high% FA will be more likely to repeat his total of assists points. Unlike a player with a low% FA. A player with a hight second assist % will be more dependent on his linemate performance.

GOALKEEPER STATISTICS

  • SV%:

This statistic is generally well known by fantasy fans, but we will analyze it depthly to extract trends. In fact, it give the number of saves compared to the total of shot against. The higher the SV%, better the goalkeeper is.

 

  • HDSV%:

This statistic give the% save from the most dangerous shots or that have the highest possibility of turning into a goal. The higher the HDSV%, the better the goalkeeper is in this type of situation.

 

  • MDSV%:

This statistic give the% save from the medium dangerous shots or that have a medium chance of turning into a goal. The higher the MDSV%, the better the goalkeeper is in this type of situation.

 

  • LDSV%:

This statistic give the% save againts shots with a low probability of turning into a goal. This is usually the most common type of shoot against. The higher the LDSV%, the better the goalkeeper is in this type of situation.

 

  • % Rebounds:

This statistic give the number of puck rebounds by a goaltender vs the overall shots received. The lower a goaltender's rebound% is, the more puck control he has.

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