CORSI % AND FENWICK %
Now let's take a look at the total number of shots in order to measure the puck possession % by each team (Corsi) and the scoring chances (Fenwick). As a reminder, the CF% considere all shots while the FF% does not count blocked shots. We will always analyze these two statistics simultaneously to highlight the quality of the players in each teams by highlighting the prediction in terms of scoring chances versus puck possession. For both indicators, most teams end up with a CF% or FF% between 40 and 60. A team with a CF% or FF% around 55 and above will be considered an elite team. Given that it is impossible to predict the number of power play that a team will have during a season (and so their power play performance), only the full strength are considered for the CF % and FF%.
CORSI AND FENWICK - ELITE TEAMS
*** Detailed statistics in the Fantasy Guide ***
SAN JOSE SHARKS
(CF% : 54,87% – FF% : 54,57%)
The Sharks are the team with the highest % for the puck control and second in scoring chances. The small difference between their CF% and their FF% shows us that the team uses their possession time effectively to take advantage of their chances to score ... which is perfect! They will certainly maintain or even improve their performance for these two stats. When we analyze the performance of the top five scorers on the team last year, except for Brent Burns, they all had a FF% and CF% lower than their career results. Their performance will improve to reach their career average and the team will see their performance improve at the same time.
(CF% : 54,8% – FF% : 54,78%)
The Hurricanes have the best stats in scoring chances and the second best in puck control. They also have the smallest difference between their CF% and their FF% which places them at the top of the teams for their efficiency when they are in possession of the puck. The analysis of the performances of the five best pointers of the team last year is quite eloquent! Except for Dougie Hamilton who held up against his career results, the other four have played under their career marks. And what about Sebastian Aho and Justin Williams CF%-FF% who are between 59.4 and 60.4 which place them among the best. Considering that their production will reach their career average, the team's performance will also increase.
VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHT
(CF% : 54,36% – FF% : 54,19%)
Third in both puck control and scoring chances, the Golden Knight show very good team statistics. That said, except for Cody Eakin, the statistics of their four best pointers show good CF% and FF%. Excluding William Karlsson who had a year with results above the average of his career statistics, the other three players should improve their CF% and FF%. The small difference between the CF% and the FF% of the team shows that they are effective in puck control. The average results of the top five pointers show that the team concept is an integral part of the Golden Knight. In this context, the performance of the team should be maintained.
(CF% : 54,12% – FF% : 53,4%)
The Canadiens hare the team with the fourth best CF% for puck control and fifth for the FF%. With a difference between these two data of 0.72, the fourth highest, they are among the teams that had the most difficulty to convert their puck control in real chances to score. However, except for Phillip Danault, who scored CF% and FF% much higher than his career average, the other four top scorers will see these statistics improve to reach their career mark. The Habs should benefit as well and see their performance upgrade.
(CF% : 53,07% – FF% : 53,63%)
The Bruins are sixth in puck control, but fourth in conversion to scoring chances (FF%). They have the sixth best result in terms of difference between their CF% and their FF% with -0.56. This mark shows that they excel in converting their chances to score. If they increase their CF%, it is very likely that their success will follow with an increase in FF% and therefore better team performance. The top five scorers on the team have all scored below their career averages. This data should increase this year and, as a result, the Bruins should benefit of it.
CORSI AND FENWICK - FREE FALL TEAMS
*** Detailed statistics in the Fantasy Guide ***
(CF% : 44,9% – FF% : 45,47%)
The Senators have the worst stats for the puck control and converting shots for a chance to score. A sign of hope, they have the fourth best result for the difference between their CF% and their FF% with -0.57. This mark shows that they excel in converting their chances of scoring, even if they are rare. If they increase their CF%, they will increase their FF%. The analysis of the top five pointers on the team shows that they all have a significant gap between their performance from the previous year and their career average, mainly for Mikkle Boedker. The Senators can only improve themself.
NEW JERSEY DEVILS
(CF% : 46,88% – FF% : 47,49%)
With the third worst result for puck control and fifth worst for the conversion to a chance to score, the Devils have the third best difference between their FF% and their CF%. This last stat shows that they excel in converting their scoring chances. Of the last year top five scorers, only Blake Coleman is expected to see a decrease in production. The other four should help the team improve.
DETROIT RED WINGS
(CF% : 47,12% – FF% : 46,31%)
The Red Wings have the fourth worst CF% associated with puck possession but the second worst at FF%. With a difference between these two stats of 0.81, the third highest, they are among the teams that had the most difficulty to convert their puck possession to real chances of scoring. Except for Andreas Athanasiou and Frans Nielsen who should see their CF% and FF% increase considerably, the other main pointers will see their production decrease or increase slightly. The Red Wings are not expected to improve their production this year.
(CF% : 47,6% – FF% : 47,24%)
The Ducks are ranked fifth worst in terms of puck possession and fourth worst in converting chances to score (FF%). The difference of 0.36 between their CF% and their FF%, the seventh highest result, indicates that they have a little trouble converting puck possession into a chance to score. Also, the top five scorers on the team have all scored below their career averages. This stat should increase this year and therefore, the Ducks should have a better season.
(CF% : 46,07% – FF% : 46,35%)
The Rangers had the second worst stats for puck possession and scoring chances. The difference between their CF% and their FF% is optimism despite the fact that it is not substantial with -0.28. That stats show that they get their scoring chances when they are in control of the puck. That said, the last year top five scorers have all seen their CF% and FF% decrease from their careers stats. They should all do better, which should help the Rangers look better this year.